forecast


Thanks to revisions to California’s official earthquake forecasting tool, seismic scientists now predict that the Southern San Andreas fault has a 19% chance of having one or more events larger than a 6.7 in the next 30 years near Mojave, CA (Field, 2014).

Below is the latest earthquake forecast for the region.


Figure 1. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System - page 1



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Figure 2. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System - page 2



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Figure 3. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System - page 3



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Figure 4. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System - page 4



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Figure 5. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System - page 5



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Figure 6. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System - page 6



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References

Figures 1-6. A New Earthquake Forecast for California’s Complex Fault System.

Field, E.H. (2014). 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities, 2015, UCERF3: A new earthquake forecast for California’s complex fault system: U.S. Geological Survey 2015–3009, 6 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009. Retrieved from http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2015/3009/





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